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NN INC (NNBR)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025: Net sales $103.9M (-8.5% YoY); adjusted operating income $4.0M (>3x YoY); adjusted EBITDA $12.4M (11.9% margin, +170 bps YoY); adjusted EPS $(0.01); free cash flow $9.1M, reflecting a step change in working capital management .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus: revenue missed ($103.9M vs $111.8M), EPS missed ($(0.01) vs $0.02); Power Solutions grew (+4.7% YoY) while Mobile Solutions declined (-16.4% YoY) on rationalization and softer auto volumes; margins improved on cost actions and mix shift toward defense/electronics .
  • Guidance: net sales lowered to $420–$440M (from $430–$460M) while adjusted EBITDA ($53–$63M), free cash flow ($14–$16M, assumes CARES refund), and new business wins ($60–$70M) were reiterated at low ends due to macro uncertainty; 2026 outlook calls for improving auto/commercial vehicle and continued defense/electronics growth .
  • Catalysts: ongoing M&A program and preferred equity refinancing to enhance flexibility and common equity accretion; final consolidation of a high-cost plant to remove negative EBITDA drag; expanding A&D capabilities supported by ITAR/FFL licensing and new weapons customer win .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Margin expansion and profitability: adjusted operating income rose to $4.0M vs $1.3M prior year; adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 11.9% (+170 bps YoY) on cost reductions and favorable mix .
  • Free cash flow and working capital: FCF improved to $9.1M; management highlighted a structural “step change” in working capital delivering a more predictable cash profile .
  • Power Solutions strength: segment net sales $44.9M (+4.7% YoY); adjusted income from operations $8.1M (18.0% margin) supported by precious metal pass-through pricing, mix, and cost actions .
  • Commercial progress/new wins: $11.3M wins in Q3; $44.4M YTD; pipeline expanded to >$850M with foundational wins in defense (weapons components) and medical (robotic surgery consumables) .
  • Strategic trajectory: management emphasized transformation momentum, M&A pipeline, and preferred equity refinancing underway to unlock shareholder value .

What Went Wrong

  • Revenue and EPS miss vs consensus: revenue $103.9M vs $111.8M consensus; EPS $(0.01) vs $0.02, driven by auto market softness and rationalization impacts despite mix tailwinds .
  • Mobile Solutions weakness: net sales $59.1M (-16.4% YoY); adjusted income from operations $0.3M as lower volumes and rationalization weighed on segment profitability .
  • Macro/market headwinds: data center-driven grid demand exists, but U.S. electrical infrastructure spending faced delays; global auto volumes remain soft; management guided to low end of ranges and reduced FY net sales .

Financial Results

Consolidated Performance (reported)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Net Sales ($USD Millions)$105.7 $107.9 $103.9
Adjusted Operating Income ($USD Millions)$2.0 $4.9 $4.0
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$10.6 $13.2 $12.4
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %10.0% 12.2% 11.9%
Adjusted EPS ($USD)$(0.03) $0.02 $(0.01)

Q3 Margin and Cash Metrics

MetricQ3 2025
GAAP Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$17.5
GAAP Gross Margin %16.8%
Adjusted Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$19.6
Adjusted Gross Margin %18.8%
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$9.1

Segment Breakdown (Q3 2025)

SegmentNet Sales ($USD Millions)Adjusted Income from Operations ($USD Millions)Adjusted Operating Margin %
Power Solutions$44.9 $8.1 18.0%
Mobile Solutions$59.1 $0.3 3.9%

Estimates vs Actuals (S&P Global)

MetricQ3 2025 ActualQ3 2025 Consensus
Revenue ($USD Millions)103.9*111.8*
Primary EPS ($USD)(0.01)*0.02*
Revenue - # of Estimates4*
Primary EPS - # of Estimates2*

Note: Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net Sales ($USD Millions)FY 2025$430–$460 $420–$440 Lowered
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)FY 2025$53–$63 $53–$63 Maintained (low end bias)
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)FY 2025$14–$16 (assumes CARES refund) $14–$16 (assumes CARES refund) Maintained
New Business Wins ($USD Millions)FY 2025$60–$70 $60–$70 Maintained

Management added a qualitative 2026 outlook: improving North American passenger vehicle production in 2026, commercial vehicle recovery in H2’26, multi-year defense/electronics growth, and >$60M of launches in 2026; some legacy minimal-profit auto business to be completed in rationalization .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ1 2025 (Prev)Q2 2025 (Prev)Q3 2025 (Current)Trend
Tariffs/MacroTariffs largely immaterial; maintaining EBITDA guidance amid uncertainty Pass-through arrangements; some timing compression; pipeline strong Lower FY net sales; reiterated EBITDA/FCF at low end; uncertainty in auto/electrical funding Cautious, operational offsets in place
Automotive (ICE vs EV)Portfolio diversification remains focus ICE resurgence supports pipeline; auto market flat/nervous Softness in North America auto; rationalizing final unprofitable plant; expect inflection in 2026 Near-term soft, medium-term improving
Electrical grid/data centerTargeted growth in stamped/electrical products Power generation demand (Cummins) strong; residential soft Data centers drive grid demand, but U.S. infrastructure spending delayed; focused product strategy Mixed near-term; strategic focus intact
Defense & MedicalMedical pipeline peak $40M+; adding specialized equipment Building medical capacity (dedicated machines); certifications Foundational wins in weapons and robotic surgery; ITAR/FFL licenses; new weapons customer Accelerating
Working capital/FCFInitiated FCF guidance $14–$16M Tight capex; improving margin capture Structural step-change in WC; $9.1M FCF; plan to maintain WC discipline Improving
Capital structure (M&A, preferred refi)Term loan refi completed Focus on lowering term loan cost and preferred refi; active M&A Preferred refi formally underway; multiple M&A targets; aim to enhance flexibility/accretion Active

Management Commentary

  • “We delivered another quarter of strong progress… higher operating income, improved gross and adjusted EBITDA margins, and positive free cash flow performance.”
  • “We are launching approximately $48 million of new programs in 2025… they will serve to further strengthen our foundation and position NN for solid top-line growth in 2026 and beyond.”
  • “Our adjusted EBITDA did go up… margin is up 170 basis points year over year… on a lower sales base.”
  • “Softness in the North American automotive market created an opportunity… to consolidate our last plant that loses money.”
  • “Our strategic M&A program is underway… evaluating multiple acquisition targets… incorporating the refinancing of our preferred stock.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Power Solutions/electrical: Data center demand is driving grid needs; NN’s participation centers on hardware for connect/disconnect and circuit breaking, with focused product strategy .
  • Margin path: Power Solutions percentages pressured by high gold/silver prices (pass-through effect); Mobile to improve via final removal of negative EBITDA business and accretive wins .
  • Capacity/utilization: Stamping ~60% utilization with significant room; machining varies 60–80% by facility, overall capacity available .
  • Preferred stock refinancing: Goal to eliminate preferred; considering standalone vs M&A-coupled refi; engaging advisors and current stakeholders (e.g., Morgan Stanley) .
  • China operations/JV: JV ~$130M sales and >$30M EBITDA; BYD a major customer; wholly-owned China ~$70M sales, profitable and cash generative; repatriation ongoing .
  • Free cash flow outlook: Absent CARES refund, Q4 FCF could be $2–3M; next year targeted around ~$10M with stronger EBITDA and WC; lower rates could help cash interest .
  • 2026 set-up: Automotive by region—China growing; Europe improving via a large win; North America slightly up; electrical flat base with wins; commercial vehicle improving in H2’26 .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 2025 results vs S&P Global consensus: revenue $103.9M vs $111.8M (miss); Primary EPS $(0.01) vs $0.02 (miss). Management cited auto softness and rationalization impacts, partially offset by precious metal pass-through pricing and mix gains (defense/electronics) .
  • Post-quarter estimate implications: Consensus likely to drift lower on revenue/near-term EPS while margin outlook supported by cost actions, mix improvements, and final plant consolidation timing .

Note: Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Mix-driven margin resilience: Despite top-line pressure, adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 11.9% on cost actions and favorable mix; continued pathway to long-term 13–14% EBITDA margins .
  • Portfolio transition gaining traction: Power Solutions strength and defense/medical wins are counterbalancing auto softness; 2026 pipeline/launch cadence (> $60M) supports top-line recovery .
  • Cash generation turning: $9.1M FCF with structural WC improvements; focus remains on WC discipline and capex tied to accretive program wins .
  • Strategic balance sheet actions: Preferred equity refinancing underway in parallel with M&A; potential to improve cost of capital and common equity accretion .
  • Near-term trading: Expect sensitivity to auto macro headlines and CARES refund timing; narrative supports valuation on margin progress and strategic optionality despite revenue misses .
  • Medium-term thesis: Execution on plant consolidation, program ramp, and A&D growth should lift earnings power and cash conversion; watch gold/silver pass-through impact on reported margin percentages .
  • Segment focus: Power Solutions margin durability (18% adjusted op margin) and Mobile normalization post-rationalization provide levers for consolidated margin expansion .